Pricing on the Future Spot Market for Electricity

Modellierung des deutschen Stromsystems im Jahr 20237: Investitionen, Einsatz und Spotpreisbildung

An energy system model with hourly resolution examines the German electricity market in 2037. It identifies cost-effective investments in generation and storage, as well as their deployment. Different assumptions regarding demand, weather and technologies show how the capacity mix, system costs and electricity price distribution change.

Comparison of wind and solar energy, battery storage and controllable power stations using gas, hydrogen or CO₂ capture
Analysis of the contribution of demand flexibility to managing periods of low wind and low sunshine and to limiting price spikes
Under the model assumptions, controllable capacity significantly reduces system costs and extreme scarcity prices.
The results describe scenarios under idealised market conditions and serve to assess investment and price risks.

Prof. Dr. Mario Liebensteiner
FAU Erlangen-Nürnberg

June 2025 - May 2026

Professor Dr. Gregor Zöttl, FAU

Study commissioned by N-ERGIE Aktiengesellschaft and Syneco Trading GmbH

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